MDG-07-2010

"The Permanent Effects of Recessions on Child Health: Evidence from Peru"
Jorge M. Agüero and Martín Valdivia

We explore the permanent e ffects that recessions have on health-related outcomes of mothers and children in Peru. To account for possible self-selection into giving birth during harsh economic conditions, we compare the infant mortality rates of siblings born in di fferent phases of the economic cycle. Our results suggest that a 1 percent decline in GDP per capita is associated with an increase in infant mortality rates between 0.30 and 0.39 percent.

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MDG-06-2010

"The Impact of the Economic Crisis on the Wellbeing of Families in Brazil"
Sergio Pinheiro Firpo and André Portela Souza

This study examines the impact of the economic crisis occurred in Brazil in the years 1987 to 1991 on the wellbeing outcomes of families. The outcomes of interest are education, health and poverty.

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MDG-05-2010

"Economic Crises, Health and Education in Jamaica"
Namsuk Kim and Marta Serra-Garcia

We study the impact of growth fluctuation on education and health indicators in Jamaica. Using household surveys between 1989 and 2007, we study the impact by using pseudo-panel regressions at the parish level, instrumenting growth fluctuations with variations in major Jamaican export commodities, to account for the endogeneity of growth in its relationship with education and health indicators.

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MDG-04-2010

"Impact of Economic Crises on Mortality: The Case of Mexico"
Eva Olimpia Arceo-Gómez

Given the current depression of the global economy, questions have been raised on what the consequences will be for the wellbeing on people all around the world. Of particular concern are the effects of this recession on developing countries, and whether the progress towards the achievement of the Millennium Development Goals will be slowed down, stalled or even reversed (UN, 2009).

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MDG-03-2010

"Permanent Effects of Economic Crises on Household Welfare: Estimations and Projections from Argentina’s Downturns"
Guillermo Cruces, Pablo Glüzmann and Luis Felipe López-Calva

The quantification of the impact of crises on household welfare and socioeconomic outcomes is a fundamental input for the design of ex ante safety nets and ex post alleviation programs. Economic downturns have direct effects through employment and household income, but whether these and other impacts are permanent rather than transitory is harder to establish.

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MDG-02-2010

"The Effects of Macroeconomic Shocks on Employment: The Case of Mexico"
Raymundo M. Campos-Vázquez

This paper studies the empirical and theoretical effects of macroeconomic shocks in employment and wages for the case of Mexico. Using an event study of the 1995, 2001 and 2008 crises, I …find that young and unskilled workers are the most affected by an economic shock: they are the most sensitive to unemployment, changing  from employment in the formal to the informal sector (formal workers are entitled to social security protection), and to leave the labor force.

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MDG-01-2010

"Transitory Shocks, Permanent Effects: Impact of the Economic Crisis on the Well-Being of Households in Latin America and the Caribbean"
Almudena Fernandez and Luis F. López-Calva

Aggregate macroeconomic shocks have long-term effects on the welfare of households. The global crisis of 2008-2009 will be no exception, and the magnitude of these impacts will depend on the vulnerability of households, the length of the crisis, the pace of the recovery and the social protection programs in place at the country level. This paper, based on the results of the project The Effects of the Economic Crisis on the Well-being of Households in Latin America and the Caribbean, aims to measure the impact of the global recession on social indicators.

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MDG-10-2009

"Risk, Natural Disasters and Poverty in Latin America: Case Study - Ecuador"
Carla Calero, Rosario Maldonado and Andrea Molina

This paper seeks to explore the empirical relationship between natural disasters and poverty in Latin American. In this sense, the main objective of this paper is to contribute to the empirical debate and knowledge about this theme, and to provide some relevant policy recommendations.

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MDG-09-2009

"The Global Food Crisis and Guatemala: What Crisis and For Whom?"
Alain de Janvry and Elisabeth Sadoulet

Food prices rose sharply on the international market between January 2005 and mid-2008, precipitating what has become known as the “global food crisis”. Yet, how much of a crisis was it at the household level, and for whom was it a crisis? This paper analyzes the welfare effects of changes in prices over categories of households in Guatemala.

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MDG-08-2009

"Patrones de manifestaciones de riesgo extensivo en la región Andina: Los casos de Colombia, Ecuador y Bolivia"
Fernando Ramírez

La configuración del riesgo en el territorio de los países analizados tiene que ver con un conjunto de factores variados que van desde la existencia de fenómenos amenazantes que, en caso de manifestarse pueden poner en peligro bienes y personas, como de factores asociados a la vulnerabilidad, manifestados en condiciones y procesos complejos que históricamente han ido creando, consolidando y acumulando condiciones de riesgo.

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MDG-07-2009

"Marco general de riesgo en México"
Elizabeth Mansilla

En México los elevados niveles de riesgo parecen estar asociados directamente al acelerado crecimiento de los asentamientos humanos y las formas de urbanización, tendiendo a concentrarse en ciudades donde prevalecen altos y muy altos niveles de marginación urbana.

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MDG-06-2009

"Marco general de riesgo en El Salvador"
Elizabeth Mansilla

Desde mediados de la década de los ochenta, la tendencia principal en el tema de la intervención relacionada con los desastres, ha sido a favor de visiones más amplias sobre el problema y con tendencias a la formulación de políticas, estrategias e instrumentos de intervención sobre lo que hoy en día se conoce como la gestión del riesgo.

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MDG-05-2009

"The Impact of Natural Disasters on Human Development and Poverty at the Municipal Level in Mexico"
Eduardo Rodríguez-Oreggia, Alejandro de la Fuente and Rodolfo de la Torre

This paper seeks to analyze the impact of natural events on social indicators at the municipal level in Mexico. We focus on the impact of such events on indicators such as the human development index and different poverty levels.

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MDG-04-2009

"Disaster Risk and Poverty in Latin America: The Peruvian Case Study"
Manuel Glave, Ricardo Fort and Cristina Rosemberg

Peru is well known to have a high incidence of natural hazards and disasters, and the probability of households constantly falling into poverty traps due to the lack of formal insurance mechanisms for natural disasters in many areas of the country, particularly in the poorest, as well as the tendency to establish new settlements in high-risk areas.

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MDG-03-2009

"Analysis on Relation between Natural Disaster Risks and Living Conditions: The Case of Bolivia"
Ernesto Pérez de Rada and Daniel Paz Fernandez

The starting point of this document has been recognition of natural hazards importance and their risk on development processes. Research faces an outlook that goes beyond improving response capacities and designing mechanisms to deal with human aid or for emergency assistance in case of disaster.

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MDG-02-2009

"On Shaky Ground: The Effects of Earthquakes on Household Income and Poverty"
Javier E. Baez and Indhira V. Santos

The devastating consequences of large natural disasters on socioeconomic systems are evident to all. Yet, little is really known about the magnitude of such negative effects on human development.

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MDG-01-2009